Iran Conflict Exposes Fossil Fuel System’s Inherent Volatility, UN Advisor States

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Iran crisis shows fossil fuels-based energy system ‘is inherently volatile and unstable’ - news.un.org

The recent global energy crisis, exacerbated by the conflict in Iran, has starkly revealed the inherent instability, volatility, and unreliability of a global energy system reliant on fossil fuels, according to Selwin Hart, the Special Advisor to the UN Secretary-General on Climate Action and the Just Transition.

Speaking at the ‘Transition Away from Fossil Fuels’ (TAFF) event in Santa Marta, Colombia, Hart emphasized that approximately three-quarters of the world’s population resides in countries that are net importers of fossil fuels. This dependency leaves them vulnerable to external shocks beyond their control, making energy independence a critical imperative for security, economic stability, and development.

Hart highlighted that renewable energy sources, such as wind and solar, offer a pathway to stability, sovereignty, and control over a nation’s energy future. He noted that these renewables represent the fastest and most cost-effective means to achieve universal energy access, particularly for the nearly 800 million people currently without electricity.

No Price Shocks for Renewables

“There are no embargoes, price shocks, tariffs or tolls on wind or sunlight,” Hart stated, contrasting the predictable nature of renewables with the volatility of fossil fuels. He cautioned that opposing forces are actively attempting to delay the transition away from fossil fuels by challenging scientific consensus, distorting economic arguments, and undermining climate information to protect vested interests.

The senior advisor urged the Santa Marta conference to usher in a new era of cooperation, sending a clear message that the transition to sustainable energy is irreversible and will be managed with purpose, partnership, and urgency.

An Economic Tipping Point

Martin Krause, Director of the Climate Change Division at the UN Environment Programme (UNEP), observed that the urgency felt at the TAFF conference is palpable, driven by the volatile energy markets and their tangible impacts. He believes this could signify a tipping point for the widespread adoption of renewable energy.

Krause pointed out that renewables, particularly solar and wind, have become competitive and often cheaper than fossil fuel alternatives in numerous markets. This economic advantage is fueling a significant move towards electrification across various economic sectors.

Market-Driven Transition

According to Krause, the market is already driving this transition, irrespective of the pace of official climate negotiations. “It is not being driven by policy anymore. It is being driven by the market,” he stated. Consumers are directly experiencing the impact of fossil fuel prices at the gas pump, and this volatility also contributes to inflationary pressures on food and other consumer goods due to their dependence on oil and gas prices.

Krause added that some severely affected nations struggle to afford basic necessities like air conditioning or lighting due to their reliance on imported fossil fuels, forcing them to recognize that this dependence is not a sustainable long-term economic solution.

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